Murray, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

584
FXUS63 KPAH 110718
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
218 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Typical summer-time heat and humidity will continue through
  the next 7 days. Daily highs will primarily be in the low 90s
  this week, and may push the mid 90s by next weekend.

- Heat index readings will make it "feel like" 95 to 102 degrees each
  day this week. These readings may rise slightly higher over
  the coming weekend.

- An isolated shower or storm can`t be ruled out this afternoon.
  Highest chances for scattered showers and storms will be
  Tuesday- Thursday (30-50%), with lessening chances late in the
  week into next weekend (20%).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 217 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

500mb ridging across the eastern CONUS today will gradually break
down and become centered over the southeast U.S. by midweek. This
occurs as broad troughing now over the North Central U.S. migrates
east, passing through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Tuesday into
Wednesday. Deeper moisture from the Gulf will begin to push north
into our area on Tuesday and even moreso on Wednesday. This will
combine with a weak frontal boundary sinking south towards us to
produce scattered showers and storms. Can`t completely rule out an
isolated shower or storm this afternoon, but coverage should trend
higher on Tuesday afternoon and even more by Wednesday afternoon.

Upper level heights begin to rise again by Thursday into Friday as
the ridge builds north across the Ohio Valley through next weekend.
It appears to be more of a dirty ridge though with weak 500mb
impulses embedded within it to allow isolated convection to continue.

Temperatures shouldn`t vary much from day to day. Might be a few
degrees cooler Wednesday and Thursday when coverage of showers and
storms may be higher. Otherwise primarily low 90s each day. Maybe a
few degrees warmer next weekend, possibly pushing mid 90s in places.
Humidity levels will nudge upwards after today, with dew points more
into the low to mid 70s. Peak heat index readings should top out in
the mid 90s to around 100 most days. Might be slightly higher on
Tuesday and then again next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1112 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. Some patchy
shallow ground fog is possible overnight into early morning, but
have left mention out of TAFs. SCT-BKN cu field will develop by
late morning through the afternoon. Skies become mostly clear
again towards sunset. Winds will start out more southwesterly
around 4-6 kts on Monday but will trend toward southeasterly by
mid to late afternoon. Can`t rule out an isolated shower or
storm during the afternoon, but coverage will be very isolated
so no mention in TAFs.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...SP